San Diego vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Diego v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals
San Diego vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
San Diego 1-2 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Timbers edged past San Diego 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. San Diego carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, San Diego had 67% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 33%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.90 to 1.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Diego had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for San Diego and 0.60 for Portland Timbers.
What was the final score of San Diego vs Portland Timbers?
San Diego 1-2 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Diego vs Portland Timbers?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split San Diego 59%, draw 20%, Portland Timbers 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Diego) went the other way.