Racing Santander 2-0 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
35%
-7.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.84/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-43% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.72 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
210 Passes 277
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2025 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
04.12.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İSPK
14.09.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
30.03.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-3 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
07.10.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
14.01.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
2-0
AWAY Sporting Gijon
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander beat Sporting Gijon 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Racing Santander had 39% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 61%, shots finished 5-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Santander had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Racing Santander and 0.83 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?

Racing Santander 2-0 Sporting Gijon in the Friendlies on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 27%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Gijon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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