Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera A, 26 Jul 2026

Monarcas Morelia
vs
CA La Paz
📅26/07/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Mexico - Primera A – 2026/2027

Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
16%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Monarcas Morelia v CA La Paz — Team-Based Signals

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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
01.03.2026 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
20.09.2025 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-0 HT 3-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
16.03.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 4-1 HT 2-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
28.09.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 0-1 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
10.01.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
11.09.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
COMMENT Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Monarcas Morelia have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 home league games, while over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of CA La Paz's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 0.83 for CA La Paz.

When do Monarcas Morelia and CA La Paz play?

Monarcas Morelia play CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 26/07/2026, kick-off 04:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz?

Our model's prediction for Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz is a Monarcas Morelia win at about 62% probability, priced 1.76 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Monarcas Morelia 62%, draw 21%, CA La Paz 16%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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