Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera A, 26 Jul 2026

Venados
vs
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
📅26/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Mexico - Primera A – 2026/2027

Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Venados v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.02.2026 Venados Venados 3-3 HT 1-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
31.08.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-5 HT 2-2 Venados Venados MEK2
22.02.2025 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
09.09.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
13.03.2024 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 1-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
06.09.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1 HT 2-1 Venados Venados MEK2
COMMENT Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Alebrijes de Oaxaca have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Venados and 2.00 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

When do Venados and Alebrijes de Oaxaca play?

Venados play Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 26/07/2026, kick-off 02:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Our model's prediction for Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca is a Venados win at about 49% probability, priced 1.89 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Venados 49%, draw 29%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 22%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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