Tlaxcala 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 26 Jul 2026

📅26/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.3pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.98/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.65
+10% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2026 Tlaxcala 5-2 HT 4-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
31.08.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-2 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
02.02.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 5-1 HT 3-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
18.08.2024 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 0-2 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
24.03.2024 Tlaxcala 0-4 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
30.10.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 HT 2-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tlaxcala
0-1
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
3 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over Tlaxcala 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tlaxcala at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 3-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tlaxcala and 2.83 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Tlaxcala 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 26/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 49%, draw 33%, Leones Negros Udeg 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tlaxcala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tlaxcala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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