Wealdstone 1-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 27% vs market 19.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.62
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
11%
4.62
X/2
15%
7.45
X/X
10%
5.27
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
14%
5.11
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+10.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.66/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.71
+2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
2W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Fylde
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-2 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
19.08.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-2 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
1-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone edged past AFC Fylde 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Wealdstone found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wealdstone had 51% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 49%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wealdstone had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wealdstone and 1.50 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs AFC Fylde?

Wealdstone 1-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 36%, draw 26%, AFC Fylde 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Fylde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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