Peterborough Sports 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.67
Over
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.68
2-3
34%
1.77
4-5
22%
4.38
6+
11%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 55%
-20% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
0.81/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.96
-35% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
221 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.02.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers FAK
28.01.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-2 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
27.08.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
0-1
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers squeezed past Peterborough Sports 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 40% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 60%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Peterborough Sports and 1.33 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Peterborough Sports 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 30%, draw 26%, Kidderminster Harriers 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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