Rushall Olympic 1-3 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rushall Olympic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.66/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.52
+28% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rushall Olympic
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Alfreton Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.03.2024 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic İCON
14.11.2023 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic 1-1 HT 0-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rushall Olympic
1-3
AWAY Alfreton Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rushall Olympic vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town beat Rushall Olympic 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Alfreton Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rushall Olympic had 54% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 46%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rushall Olympic and 1.00 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Rushall Olympic vs Alfreton Town?

Rushall Olympic 1-3 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rushall Olympic vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rushall Olympic 35%, draw 28%, Alfreton Town 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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