Inter vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Inter v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Inter vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Inter
İTA
1-2
HT 1-1
Roma
İTA
3-1
HT 2-0
Roma
İTA
Inter 0-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Roma edged past Inter 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Inter at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Inter had 69% of the ball to Roma's 31%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.08 to 1.93.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Inter and 0.83 for Roma.
What was the final score of Inter vs Roma?
Inter 0-1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Inter vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Inter 44%, draw 28%, Roma 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter), BTTS Yes went the other way.