Napoli 2-0 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.8
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.01
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.73
6+
8%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.68
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
10%
20.5
X/1
21%
3.63
X/2
7%
16.15
X/X
9%
5.74
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
7%
15.4
2/X
7%
24.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Napoli win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.8pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.88/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.69
-11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +16%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
484 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
21.5 Crosses 13.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Torino
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.54 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
399 Passes 328
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Torino Torino 0-1 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
08.03.2024 Napoli Napoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
07.01.2024 Torino Torino 3-0 HT 1-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
19.03.2023 Torino Torino 0-4 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
01.10.2022 Napoli Napoli 3-1 HT 3-1 Torino Torino İTA
07.05.2022 Torino Torino 0-1 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2-0
AWAY Torino
1.17 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 5
489 Passes 326
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Napoli vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli beat Torino 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Napoli had 58% of the ball to Torino's 42%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.17 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Napoli and 0.83 for Torino.

What was the final score of Napoli vs Torino?

Napoli 2-0 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Napoli 55%, draw 26%, Torino 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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