Juventus 2-0 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.29
Over
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.42
2-3
43%
1.88
4-5
23%
2.77
6+
10%
7.64
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.42 — our 24% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.42
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
24.65
X/1
13%
3.73
X/2
6%
23.3
X/X
11%
8.39
2/1
15%
23.75
2/2
6%
21.35
2/X
6%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Juventus win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
75%
-13.9pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.85/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.83
-8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
484 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
20.9 Crosses 11.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Monza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 1.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
334 Passes 474
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Monza Monza 1-2 HT 1-2 Juventus Juventus İTA
25.05.2024 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 2-0 Monza Monza İTA
01.12.2023 Monza Monza 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
29.01.2023 Juventus Juventus 0-2 HT 0-2 Monza Monza İTA
19.01.2023 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 1-1 Monza Monza İTK
18.09.2022 Monza Monza 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
2-0
AWAY Monza
1.40 xG 0.67
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
257 Passes 497
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 17
2 Crosses 41
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus saw off Monza 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Juventus had 35% of the ball to Monza's 65%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.40 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juventus and 1.00 for Monza.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Monza?

Juventus 2-0 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Juventus 61%, draw 22%, Monza 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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