İstanbulspor 5-2 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.07
Over
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No Pick
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
31%
4.02
2-3
42%
1.89
4-5
19%
3.22
6+
8%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.02 — our 31% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.1
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
21%
4.26
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
13%
5.76
2/1
9%
21.7
2/2
7%
7.88
2/X
8%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.86/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.35
+27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.6 Crosses 13.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pendikspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
263 Passes 329
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
15.03.2024 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
04.11.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-4 HT 1-2 Pendikspor Pendikspor TSL
15.01.2017 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-2 HT 0-2 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor S2-B
03.09.2016 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
06.03.2016 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
5-2
AWAY Pendikspor
2.02 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
284 Passes 339
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor ran out comfortable winners over Pendikspor 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İstanbulspor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 46% of the ball to Pendikspor's 54%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 2.02 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pendikspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.17 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Pendikspor?

İstanbulspor 5-2 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 52%, draw 28%, Pendikspor 20%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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