Bragantino 0-1 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Apr 2026

Bragantino
0-1 HT 0-1
Palmeiras
📅27/04/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bragantino vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.2
6+ Goals
11%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.11
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
13%
5.67
X/2
13%
5.33
X/X
9%
4.04
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
11%
3.74
2/X
11%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +18%
1.37/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.26
+18% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.4 Crosses 18.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Bragantino vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Palmeiras
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.35 xG 1.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
313 Passes 317
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.10.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 5-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
19.05.2025 Bragantino 1-2 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
05.10.2024 Bragantino 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
21.06.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
02.10.2023 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
14.05.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1

Bragantino 0-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
0-1
AWAY Palmeiras
1.03 xG 0.46
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
379 Passes 214
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 9
41 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras squeezed past Bragantino 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Palmeiras made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Bragantino had 61% of the ball to Palmeiras's 39%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.03 to 0.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bragantino.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bragantino and 1.83 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Palmeiras?

Bragantino 0-1 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 39%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bragantino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5
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