Atletico Mineiro 0-4 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.37
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
14%
8.89
X/2
13%
4.21
X/X
14%
4.48
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.33
2/X
5%
13.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.13/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.05
-42% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -22%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 84%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
12.0 Crosses 16.3
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Flamengo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 1.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 395
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
07.08.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
28.07.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
14.11.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
10.11.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
03.11.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0-4
AWAY Flamengo
1.37 xG 2.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
450 Passes 452
91% Pass Accuracy 93%
24 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo cruised past Atletico Mineiro 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 51% of the ball to Flamengo's 49%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.37 to 2.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.17 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo?

Atletico Mineiro 0-4 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 27%, draw 26%, Flamengo 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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