Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mushuc Runa 0-2 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad got the better of Mushuc Runa 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mushuc Runa at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 1.98 to 0.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mushuc Runa.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.67 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Libertad?
Mushuc Runa 0-2 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 27/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 62%, draw 21%, Libertad 17%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.