Servette 4-0 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.18
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
6.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.9
X/1
16%
4.12
X/2
5%
12.1
X/X
8%
7.04
2/1
10%
19.15
2/2
10%
9.07
2/X
11%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.99/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.98
-14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
36.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
25.6 Crosses 12.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Winterthur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.99 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
398 Passes 308
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Servette Servette 3-1 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
08.12.2024 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
01.09.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
04.05.2024 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 2-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
28.04.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSVK
30.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
4-0
AWAY Winterthur
1.46 xG 0.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
394 Passes 378
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Servette vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette cruised past Winterthur 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Servette had 50% of the ball to Winterthur's 50%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.46 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Servette and 0.67 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Servette vs Winterthur?

Servette 4-0 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Servette 56%, draw 24%, Winterthur 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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