Zürich 3-1 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
14%
9.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.58
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.81
X/2
11%
5.91
X/X
7%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
25.5
2/2
20%
3.68
2/X
10%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +23%
1.27/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.36
-5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
17.9 Crosses 16.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
1W-0D-5L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.19 xG 1.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
337 Passes 236
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 3-2 HT 2-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
09.02.2025 Zürich Zürich 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
15.12.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
24.09.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-1 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
25.05.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-2 HT 1-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
21.04.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
3-1
AWAY St. Gallen
4.39 xG 1.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
28 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
230 Passes 140
72% Pass Accuracy 61%
42 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zürich vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich got the better of St. Gallen 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Zürich found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zürich had 58% of the ball to St. Gallen's 42%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 4.39 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zürich and 2.17 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Zürich vs St. Gallen?

Zürich 3-1 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zürich 38%, draw 25%, St. Gallen 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zürich), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zürich) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
27 Sep 2025
19:00 Lugano vs Grasshoppers Analysis →
19:00 Servette vs Winterthur Analysis →