Charlton Athletic 2-0 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2025

Charlton Athletic
2-0 HT 2-0
Bristol Rovers
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Charlton Athletic vs Bristol Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.85
X/1
12%
3.95
X/2
9%
11.4
X/X
12%
5.53
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
11%
9.59
2/X
9%
18.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Charlton Athletic v Bristol Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.42/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.56
-21% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.8 Crosses 13.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Charlton Athletic vs Bristol Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.25 xG 1.25
55% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
314 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2024 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 3-2 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
29.12.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
15.08.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
07.04.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
17.12.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
16.03.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-2 HT 2-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1

Charlton Athletic 2-0 Bristol Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
2-0
AWAY Bristol Rovers
2.20 xG 0.18
37% Ball Possession 63%
20 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
141 Passes 301
58% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic got the better of Bristol Rovers 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charlton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 37% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 63%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.20 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charlton Athletic and 2.00 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Bristol Rovers?

Charlton Athletic 2-0 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 48%, draw 27%, Bristol Rovers 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlton Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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