Wrexham vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wrexham v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals
Wrexham vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Stevenage
İBSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Wrexham
İBSL
1-2
HT 0-0
Wrexham
İBSL
5-0
HT 1-0
Stevenage
İBSL
Wrexham 2-3 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics
Stevenage edged past Wrexham 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Stevenage made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Wrexham had 57% of the ball to Stevenage's 43%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.06 to 1.68.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Wrexham and 0.60 for Stevenage.
What was the final score of Wrexham vs Stevenage?
Wrexham 2-3 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Stevenage?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 40%, draw 33%, Stevenage 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.