Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.78
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
13%
4.78
X/2
17%
7.16
X/X
16%
4.9
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
10%
5.18
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +0%
1.54/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.27
+6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
246 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 67%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.7 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Barnsley
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.32 xG 1.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
176 Passes 255
57% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 Barnsley Barnsley 2-2 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
02.03.2024 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-4 HT 1-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
28.11.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 1-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
18.03.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
20.08.2022 Barnsley Barnsley 0-3 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
17.03.2021 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
2-1
AWAY Barnsley
2.63 xG 0.86
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
313 Passes 179
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
50 Box Touches 8
34 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers edged past Barnsley 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Wycombe Wanderers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 62% of the ball to Barnsley's 38%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.63 to 0.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wycombe Wanderers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnsley led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 1.83 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Barnsley?

Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 40%, draw 27%, Barnsley 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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