FC Tokyo 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
13%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.41/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.17
+5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
19.8 Crosses 14.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 0.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 Passes 383
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
11.04.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
11.05.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-3 HT 3-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
01.07.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
26.02.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
27.08.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-6 HT 0-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
0-2
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
2.32 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
395 Passes 420
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol saw off FC Tokyo 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 50% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 50%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.32 to 1.15 — on chances, FC Tokyo could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.50 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

FC Tokyo 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 33%, draw 25%, Kashiwa Reysol 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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