Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.92
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.48/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.85
+22% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.9 Crosses 16.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 0.66
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
446 Passes 237
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
05.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
29.06.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 HT 1-2 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
25.02.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-2 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3-2
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos edged past Tokyo Verdy 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 54% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 46%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.00 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?

Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 45%, draw 32%, Tokyo Verdy 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
28 Feb 2026
08:00 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
09:00 FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →
09:00 Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
11:00 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →