Urawa Red Diamonds 2-3 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 33% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +21%
1.29/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.19
+10% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.3 Crosses 18.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 0.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 Passes 304
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
16.03.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
17.08.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
22.06.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-2 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
28.10.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
04.06.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2-3
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.79 xG 2.07
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
237 Passes 325
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers squeezed past Urawa Red Diamonds 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Kashima Antlers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 44% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 56%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.79 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.67 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers?

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-3 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 34%, draw 28%, Kashima Antlers 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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