Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.98
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.19
X/2
12%
6.48
X/X
15%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
2/2
14%
4.04
2/X
9%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.37/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.52
-11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.6 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.29 xG 1.99
44% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 436
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
21.05.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-3 HT 1-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
24.04.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-1 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
23.04.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-1 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
31.07.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
08.05.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-1 HT 3-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
0-0
AWAY Atlanta United
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
248 Passes 529
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire and Atlanta United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 36% of the ball to Atlanta United's 64%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlanta United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chicago Fire and 2.33 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United?

Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 38%, draw 30%, Atlanta United 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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