San Diego 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
27%
2.96
Over Pick
73%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.77
Total Goals
0-1
12%
6.58
2-3
37%
2.14
4-5
34%
2.41
6+
17%
4.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.13
1/2
2%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
17%
4.73
X/2
8%
9.28
X/X
10%
7.23
2/1
5%
17.75
2/2
12%
5.92
2/X
5%
14.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME San Diego The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes The Market 28%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.10 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
1.30 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.94
Average Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
33 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Diego
1W-0D-0L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
386 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2025 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 HT 0-0 San Diego San Diego ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
0 - 1
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
2.35 xG 0.91
72% Ball Possession 28%
19 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
622 Passes 188
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
42 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

San Jose Earthquakes edged past San Diego 1-0 away from home.

Our model won't enjoy this one — San Diego at 58% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, possession split 72% to 28% in San Diego's favour, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.35 to 0.91 — the balance of chances actually favoured San Diego.

San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes Result & Final Score

San Diego 0 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split San Diego 58%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Diego) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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