Atletico Madrid 4-1 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2026

📅29/07/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.61
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
15%
4.63
X/2
9%
7.58
X/X
8%
4.89
2/1
7%
23.5
2/2
10%
5.6
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.95
Value flag · 2/X at 13.95 — our 13% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.07/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/0.22
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.2 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Getafe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.67 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
403 Passes 281
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
23.11.2025 Getafe Getafe 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
09.03.2025 Getafe Getafe 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
04.02.2025 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 5-0 HT 3-0 Getafe Getafe İSPK
15.12.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
03.08.2024 Getafe Getafe 1-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid HAZ
FAQ Atletico Madrid vs Getafe
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atletico Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Getafe 4-1 in the Friendlies on 29 Jul 2026. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid have the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.50 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?

Atletico Madrid 4-1 Getafe in the Friendlies on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 48%, draw 27%, Getafe 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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