Austin vs Real Salt Lake Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austin v Real Salt Lake — Team-Based Signals
Austin vs Real Salt Lake Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Real Salt Lake
ABD
1-2
HT 1-2
Austin
ABD
2-2
HT 1-2
Real Salt Lake
ABD
3-0
HT 0-0
Real Salt Lake
ABD
2-1
HT 0-1
Austin
ABD
Austin 2-2 Real Salt Lake — Actual Match Statistics
Austin and Real Salt Lake shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Austin at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Austin had 51% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 49%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 1.90 to 2.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Austin and 2.00 for Real Salt Lake.
What was the final score of Austin vs Real Salt Lake?
Austin 2-2 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austin vs Real Salt Lake?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Austin 43%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austin) went the other way.