Guijuelo 2-1 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.4pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 36%
+18% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.16/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.99
+4% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
149 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 128 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-1 HT 1-1 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
10.03.2024 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
29.10.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
19.02.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-1 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
02.10.2022 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
06.12.2013 Guijuelo Guijuelo 0-0 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS3
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guijuelo squeezed past Marino De Luanco 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day Guijuelo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guijuelo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guijuelo and 0.50 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Marino De Luanco?

Guijuelo 2-1 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guijuelo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 40%, draw 27%, Marino De Luanco 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guijuelo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guijuelo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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