Brest 1-0 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.15
Over Pick
51%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.92
2-3
41%
1.81
4-5
22%
2.91
6+
11%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.26
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
17%
4.45
X/2
12%
9.0
X/X
7%
5.59
2/1
7%
21.3
2/2
17%
6.65
2/X
8%
14.8
Value flag · 2/2 at 6.65 — our 17% vs market 11.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre The Market 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Le Havre
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
381 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.01.2025 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
06.10.2024 Brest Brest 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
03.03.2024 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
20.08.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 1-2 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
01.02.2019 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR2
28.08.2018 Le Havre Le Havre 3-3 HT 2-0 Brest Brest FRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
1-0
AWAY Le Havre
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Brest vs Le Havre
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Brest nicked a narrow win over Le Havre 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 50%. At 1.61 (~62%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The match data tells the story: possession split 60% to 40% in Brest's favour, shots finished 7-12.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Brest against 0.83 for Le Havre.

Brest vs Le Havre Result & Final Score

Brest 1-0 Le Havre in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Brest vs Le Havre Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brest 45%, draw 21%, Le Havre 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✗ Over 2.5
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