Telstar 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.95
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
11%
3.97
X/2
8%
10.95
X/X
10%
6.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.3
2/2
8%
7.73
2/X
8%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.43/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.54
-4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.7 Crosses 11.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 0.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 429
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2024 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
28.08.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-1 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
13.01.2023 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
24.10.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
07.03.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-2 HT 2-2 Telstar Telstar HOL2
24.09.2021 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
0-0
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.37 xG 0.44
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
268 Passes 266
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar and AZ Alkmaar II fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Telstar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Telstar had 52% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 48%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.37 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Telstar and 1.17 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Telstar 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Telstar 50%, draw 25%, AZ Alkmaar II 25%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Telstar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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