Albirex Niigata 0-1 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Nov 2024

Albirex Niigata
0-1 HT 0-1
Gamba Osaka
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.96
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.1
X/1
11%
5.63
X/2
17%
6.64
X/X
12%
4.27
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.0
2/X
9%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albirex Niigata v Gamba Osaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.08/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.30
-11% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
420 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.0 Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 1.80
50% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
421 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
17.09.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
28.05.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-3 HT 0-2 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
14.10.2017 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
01.04.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-3 HT 1-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
29.10.2016 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 3-1 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP

Albirex Niigata 0-1 Gamba Osaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
0-1
AWAY Gamba Osaka
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka squeezed past Albirex Niigata 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gamba Osaka found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 57% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 43%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gamba Osaka led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.83 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka?

Albirex Niigata 0-1 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 34%, draw 29%, Gamba Osaka 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gamba Osaka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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