Puskas FC 1-2 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -22%
0.95/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.03
-10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 86%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
12.0 Crosses 29.1
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.99
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
200 Passes 416
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 40
15 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-2 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
03.05.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
09.02.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
29.09.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
17.03.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
26.11.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
1-2
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.30 xG 2.64
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
156 Passes 393
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros nicked a narrow win over Puskas FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 34% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 66%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.30 to 2.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ferencvaros's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puskas FC and 1.17 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Ferencvaros?

Puskas FC 1-2 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 29%, draw 25%, Ferencvaros 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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MAC More Hungary - NB I
30 Nov 2025
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