Altrincham 1-2 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
65%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.84
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
25%
2.49
6+ Goals
15%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.73
1/2
12%
18.8
1/X
4%
16.75
X/1
6%
12.45
X/2 EV+ ✗
32%
4.41
X/X
6%
7.41
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
1.82
2/X
7%
15.05
Value flag · X/2 at 4.41 — our 32% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
-0.4pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.4pp
65%
Away Win
61%
+3.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.7pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 66%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
0.90/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.21
-20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
5W-1D-0L
AWAY York City
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2025 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
26.11.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 3-0 HT 3-0 York City York City İBSL
12.03.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 6-1 HT 3-0 York City York City İBSL
15.08.2023 York City York City 2-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
14.03.2023 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
11.03.2023 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
1-2
AWAY York City
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 35
6 Shots on Target 16
4 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City squeezed past Altrincham 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Altrincham had 30% of the ball to York City's 70%, shots finished 6-35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Altrincham and 1.00 for York City.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs York City?

Altrincham 1-2 York City in the England - National League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 18%, draw 17%, York City 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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