York City 1-2 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Mar 2025

York City
1-2 HT 0-1
Altrincham
📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

York City vs Altrincham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.31
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.54
X/2
8%
8.85
X/X
11%
5.36
2/1
8%
21.7
2/2
15%
6.51
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

York City v Altrincham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.70/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.73
-4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

York City vs Altrincham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Altrincham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 7
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 3-0 HT 3-0 York City York City İBSL
12.03.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 6-1 HT 3-0 York City York City İBSL
15.08.2023 York City York City 2-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
14.03.2023 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
11.03.2023 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham FAK
12.11.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL

York City 1-2 Altrincham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
1-2
AWAY Altrincham
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH York City vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham edged past York City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was York City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, York City had 64% of the ball to Altrincham's 36%, shots finished 19-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for York City and 2.83 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of York City vs Altrincham?

York City 1-2 Altrincham in the England - National League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split York City 44%, draw 24%, Altrincham 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (York City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (York City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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