Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 29% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
1.73/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.96
-19% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Mura
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2025 Mura Mura 0-2 HT 0-2 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
19.07.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
10.05.2025 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.03.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
24.11.2024 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
01.09.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 4-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
1-0
AWAY Mura
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana squeezed past Mura 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 48% of the ball to Mura's 52%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.33 for Mura.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura?

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 58%, draw 23%, Mura 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
31 Jan 2026
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