Carrarese 0-0 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.01
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.27
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
11.35
X/1
14%
5.71
X/2
14%
6.6
X/X
12%
4.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.35
2/2
10%
4.12
2/X
7%
11.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.47/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.19
+23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.8 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cesena
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.14
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
461 Passes 333
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2025 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
29.12.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 2-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
18.08.2024 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
05.03.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 3-2 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTC
30.10.2023 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
23.12.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 1-1 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
0-0
AWAY Cesena
1.12 xG 0.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
405 Passes 261
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
54 Box Touches 9
45 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese and Cesena played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Carrarese at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carrarese had 59% of the ball to Cesena's 41%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 1.12 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Carrarese and 1.50 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Cesena?

Carrarese 0-0 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 44%, draw 25%, Cesena 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✗ BTTS Yes
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