Alfreton Town 1-1 Rushall Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No OUR CALL
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rushall Olympic EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.72/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.16
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Rushall Olympic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic 1-3 HT 1-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
29.03.2024 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic İCON
14.11.2023 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic 1-1 HT 0-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
1-1
AWAY Rushall Olympic
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Rushall Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town and Rushall Olympic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alfreton Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 55% of the ball to Rushall Olympic's 45%, shots finished 5-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alfreton Town and 0.67 for Rushall Olympic.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Rushall Olympic?

Alfreton Town 1-1 Rushall Olympic in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Rushall Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 50%, draw 24%, Rushall Olympic 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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