Eastbourne Borough 4-1 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
57%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Eastbourne Borough win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-7.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
2.03/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.67
+11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
06.04.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-0 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
21.10.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 3-1 HT 2-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
01.04.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
08.10.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 5-1 HT 3-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
08.02.2020 Weymouth Weymouth 2-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
4-1
AWAY Weymouth
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough swept aside Weymouth 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eastbourne Borough as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 43% of the ball to Weymouth's 57%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.00 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Weymouth?

Eastbourne Borough 4-1 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 57%, draw 25%, Weymouth 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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