Worthing 1-2 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
13%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.97/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
+31% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Truro City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Truro City Truro City 5-0 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
13.01.2024 Truro City Truro City 1-4 HT 1-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
07.10.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-2 HT 0-1 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
1-2
AWAY Truro City
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City nicked a narrow win over Worthing 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Truro City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Worthing had 67% of the ball to Truro City's 33%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Worthing and 2.67 for Truro City.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Truro City?

Worthing 1-2 Truro City in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Worthing 36%, draw 28%, Truro City 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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