Las Vegas Lights 1-2 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.36/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.25
-11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.5 Crosses 14.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Vegas Lights
2W-0D-4L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 1.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2026 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 3-2 HT 2-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
03.08.2025 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 6-0 HT 2-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
25.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-2 HT 1-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
13.07.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-2 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
24.03.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
14.09.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Vegas Lights
1-2
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.91 xG 0.59
12 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
436 Passes 258
25 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive
Match summary & frequently asked questions

El Paso Locomotive edged past Las Vegas Lights 2-1 away from home in the USL Championship on 5 Jul 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.91 to 0.59.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 2.00 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?

Las Vegas Lights 1-2 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 38%, draw 26%, El Paso Locomotive 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) ✓ BTTS Yes
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