New Mexico United 2-1 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
9.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.95 — our 27% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.3pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.39/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.18
+17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
13.7 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Mexico United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.26 xG 1.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
437 Passes 287
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-1 HT 1-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
20.10.2025 New Mexico United New Mexico United 3-3 HT 3-2 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
25.05.2025 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-3 HT 0-2 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
01.09.2024 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-0 HT 0-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
12.05.2024 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-1 HT 1-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
24.08.2023 New Mexico United New Mexico United 1-2 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New Mexico United
2-1
AWAY Oakland Roots
2.19 xG 1.31
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
399 Passes 351
29 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots
Match summary & frequently asked questions

New Mexico United edged past Oakland Roots 2-1 in the USL Championship on 5 Jul 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was favoured at 63%.

On the day, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.19 to 1.31.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for New Mexico United and 1.50 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?

New Mexico United 2-1 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 44%, draw 25%, Oakland Roots 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New Mexico United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
5 Jul 2026
01:00 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Analysis →
02:30 Rhode Island vs Orange County SC Analysis →
03:00 Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic Analysis →
03:06 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Brooklyn Analysis →
03:30 FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Analysis →
04:00 San Antonio vs Monterey Bay Analysis →