PSV II 1-0 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.38
No
36%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.94
2-3 Goals
36%
2.03
4-5 Goals
29%
2.4
6+ Goals
16%
5.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.15
1/2
8%
22.65
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
14%
5.91
X/2
17%
6.4
X/X
9%
6.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.25
2/2
12%
3.57
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.25 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+4.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-4.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.9pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +8%
1.50/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.29
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
15.0 Crosses 20.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 1.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
392 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.08.2025 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
27.01.2025 PSV II PSV II 1-2 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
20.09.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
02.02.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-2 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
22.09.2023 PSV II PSV II 0-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
23.01.2023 PSV II PSV II 1-2 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
1-0
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.72 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
343 Passes 376
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV II vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II squeezed past VVV-Venlo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day PSV II made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV II had 46% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 54%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.72 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PSV II and 1.17 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of PSV II vs VVV-Venlo?

PSV II 1-0 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split PSV II 40%, draw 23%, VVV-Venlo 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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