Vegalta Sendai 2-1 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 31% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.68/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.00
-55% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
270 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
389 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2026 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2-3
26.03.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JLK
29.06.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 3-2 HT 3-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
19.05.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
09.07.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-2 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
26.02.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2-1
AWAY Tochigi SC
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
341 Passes 253
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Vegalta Sendai edged past Tochigi SC 2-1 in the JAP2-3 on 6 May 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 56% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 44%, shots finished 13-13.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.00 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC?

Vegalta Sendai 2-1 Tochigi SC in the JAP2-3 on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 51%, draw 25%, Tochigi SC 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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