Internacional 3-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.11
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
18%
4.22
X/2
5%
10.25
X/X
7%
5.44
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
10%
8.19
2/X
9%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +1%
1.96/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.55
+3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.5 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Bragantino
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.97 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
341 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2025 Bragantino 1-3 HT 0-2 Internacional Internacional BR1
24.11.2024 Internacional Internacional 4-1 HT 2-1 Bragantino BR1
26.09.2024 Bragantino 2-2 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
27.11.2023 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
23.07.2023 Bragantino 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
29.09.2022 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
3-1
AWAY Bragantino
2.14 xG 0.18
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
200 Passes 274
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional beat Bragantino 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Internacional had 43% of the ball to Bragantino's 57%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.14 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Internacional and 0.67 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Bragantino?

Internacional 3-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Internacional 58%, draw 23%, Bragantino 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5
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