Virtus Entella 2-1 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.51
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.36
X/2
9%
8.18
X/X
10%
4.41
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
6.61
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 27%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.98/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.40
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.7 Crosses 20.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Carrarese
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.88 xG 1.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 Passes 248
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Carrarese Carrarese 3-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
10.02.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-3 HT 1-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
30.09.2023 Carrarese Carrarese 2-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
22.01.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
05.10.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 1-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTCK
18.09.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 3-1 HT 2-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
2-1
AWAY Carrarese
1.46 xG 0.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
258 Passes 373
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella nicked a narrow win over Carrarese 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 42% of the ball to Carrarese's 58%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.46 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrarese led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Virtus Entella and 2.00 for Carrarese.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?

Virtus Entella 2-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 52%, draw 23%, Carrarese 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5
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