Crewe Alexandra vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crewe Alexandra v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals
Crewe Alexandra vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
2-2
HT 1-0
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
3-0
HT 2-0
Harrogate Town
İN2
Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics
Crewe Alexandra nicked a narrow win over Harrogate Town 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Crewe Alexandra as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 48% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 52%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.63 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 0.40 for Harrogate Town.
What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Harrogate Town?
Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Harrogate Town in the England - Futbol League Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Harrogate Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 41%, draw 26%, Harrogate Town 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.