Estonya vs İsveç Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estonya v İsveç — Team-Based Signals
Estonya vs İsveç Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Estonya
AVŞE
0-5
HT 0-3
İsveç
AVŞE
1-0
HT 1-0
Estonya
HAZ
2-0
HT 2-0
Estonya
HAZ
Estonya 0-3 İsveç — Actual Match Statistics
İsveç ran out comfortable winners over Estonya 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İsveç as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Estonya had 26% of the ball to İsveç's 74%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.27 to 2.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İsveç led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Estonya and 2.50 for İsveç.
What was the final score of Estonya vs İsveç?
Estonya 0-3 İsveç in the UEFA Uluslar League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estonya vs İsveç?
Before kick-off our model rated an İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Estonya 23%, draw 23%, İsveç 54%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsveç), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.