Polonya 1-1 Hollanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Nov 2025

Polonya
1-1 HT 1-0
Hollanda
📅14/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Polonya vs Hollanda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.49
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
49%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.8 — our 49% vs market 48.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.19
1/2
9%
23.55
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
8%
9.34
X/2
17%
4.53
X/X
14%
4.98
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.33
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.4pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polonya v Hollanda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda EU Bookmakers 56%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.75/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.21
-8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -71%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.4
– Crosses 27.6
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Polonya vs Hollanda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hollanda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.77 xG 1.94
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
273 Passes 549
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.09.2025 Hollanda Hollanda 1-1 HT 1-0 Polonya Polonya DKE
16.06.2024 Polonya Polonya 1-2 HT 1-1 Hollanda Hollanda AVR
22.09.2022 Polonya Polonya 0-2 HT 0-1 Hollanda Hollanda AVUL
11.06.2022 Hollanda Hollanda 2-2 HT 0-1 Polonya Polonya AVUL
18.11.2020 Polonya Polonya 1-2 HT 1-0 Hollanda Hollanda AVUL
04.09.2020 Hollanda Hollanda 1-0 HT 0-0 Polonya Polonya AVUL

Polonya 1-1 Hollanda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya
1-1
AWAY Hollanda
1.57 xG 0.82
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
363 Passes 580
88% Pass Accuracy 93%
22 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polonya vs Hollanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya and Hollanda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hollanda at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Polonya had 40% of the ball to Hollanda's 60%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hollanda led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Polonya and 1.67 for Hollanda.

What was the final score of Polonya vs Hollanda?

Polonya 1-1 Hollanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya vs Hollanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hollanda win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Polonya 22%, draw 29%, Hollanda 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hollanda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hollanda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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