Los Angeles FC 2-0 St. Louis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
64%
+2.9pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-2.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
2.01/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.05
+4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
17.1 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY St. Louis City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.01 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 Passes 318
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2025 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
28.04.2025 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-2 HT 0-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
03.10.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
16.05.2024 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
21.09.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
13.07.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-0 HT 0-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
2-0
AWAY St. Louis City
1.01 xG 1.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
378 Passes 463
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 30
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC saw off St. Louis City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 45% of the ball to St. Louis City's 55%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.01 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Los Angeles FC and 0.33 for St. Louis City.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City?

Los Angeles FC 2-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 67%, draw 19%, St. Louis City 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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