Mönchengladbach 4-0 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 16 May 2026

Mönchengladbach
4-0 HT 2-0
Hoffenheim
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Mönchengladbach vs Hoffenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
53%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.41
No
33%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.63
2-3 Goals
38%
2.14
4-5 Goals
31%
2.39
6+ Goals
11%
4.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.57
1/2
6%
17.65
1/X
5%
14.65
X/1
10%
10.15
X/2
19%
4.63
X/X
12%
7.22
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
28%
2.0
2/X
4%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
53%
Away Win
57%
-4.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.3pp
67%
BTTS Yes
67%
-0.2pp
33%
BTTS No
33%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Hoffenheim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 61%
+17% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.56/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.52
+21% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 84%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
13.1 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Mönchengladbach vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hoffenheim
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.25 xG 2.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
321 Passes 471
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.01.2026 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 5-1 HT 4-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
03.05.2025 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 4-4 HT 2-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
21.12.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-2 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
20.04.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 4-3 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
02.12.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
28.01.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-4 HT 0-2 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1

Mönchengladbach 4-0 Hoffenheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
4-0
AWAY Hoffenheim
1.20 xG 1.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
327 Passes 414
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Hoffenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach ran out comfortable winners over Hoffenheim 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 44% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 56%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.20 to 1.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hoffenheim.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Mönchengladbach and 2.67 for Hoffenheim.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Hoffenheim?

Mönchengladbach 4-0 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Hoffenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 26%, draw 22%, Hoffenheim 53%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hoffenheim), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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